Solar energy is an abundant and renewable for of energy which is boon to the ever increasing energy requirements of today’s world. This energy can be tapped through Solar Power Plant and then can be used for various domestic or industrial needs. Due to limited source of fossil fuels and carbon footprint related to power extraction processes from them, efficient use of solar energy is need of time.
The output of solar power plant is highly depends on climate. Peak summer will lead to higher output of solar plant whereas on the other hand, rainy days will yield no or very low output. Due to this uncertainty of output, accurate forecasting of energy generation forecast from solar power plant is very important in economic terms. Forecasts of future solar energy system output allows grid operators and utilities to proactively manage variable output, and thus integrating solar resources into the existing grid at lower costs to society.
Energy generation forecast simply means to predict the output of solar power plant on basis of solar irradiance. Solar irradiance is a measure of how much solar power you are getting at your location. This irradiance varies throughout the year depending on the seasons. It also varies throughout the day, depending on the position of the sun in the sky, cloud positions and the weather.
Solar energy forecasting methods are broadly classified as physical and statistical methods but boundary between these two methods is quite blurred. Dynamic field of solar power forecasting currently undergoing lots of improvement projects to make it more accurate and robust. Undertake work for critical factors like improving solar forecasting accuracy is through enhanced treatment of clouds, new techniques for short term 0-30min forecasting, improved models and approaches for predictions.
More detailed information is currently available in Ukrainian or Russian languages. For preliminary estimation of the total annual and monthly generation for your future solar power plant located on the territory of Ukraine, you can use Rentechno' special service "Solar PV Power Station Calculator".